The Undoing Project: A Friendship that Changed the World

The paper was another hit.* “The Linda problem” and “the conjunction fallacy” entered the language. Danny had misgivings, however. The new work was jointly written but it was, he said, “joint and painful.” He no longer had the feeling that he and Amos were sharing a mind. Amos had written two entire pages of it by himself in which he sought to define, with greater precision, “representativeness.” Danny had wanted to keep the definition vague. Danny was uneasy with the feeling that the paper was less an exploration of a new phenomenon than the forging of a new weapon, to be used by Amos in battle. “It’s very Amos,” he said. “It’s a combative paper. We’ll provoke you with this. And we’ll show you that you can’t win this argument.”

By then their interactions had become fraught. It had taken Danny the longest time to understand his own value. Now he could see that the work Amos had done alone was not as good as the work they had done together. The joint work always attracted more interest and higher praise than anything Amos had done alone. It had apparently attracted this genius award. And yet the public perception of their relationship was now a Venn diagram, two circles, with Danny wholly contained by Amos. The rapid expansion of Amos’s circle pushed his borders further and further away from Danny’s. Danny felt himself sliding slowly but surely from the small group Amos loved to the large group whose ideas Amos viewed with contempt. “Amos changed,” said Danny. “When I gave him an idea he would look for what was good in it. For what was right with it. That, for me, was the happiness in the collaboration. He understood me better than I understood myself. He stopped doing that.”

To those close to Amos who glimpsed his interaction with Danny, the wonder wasn’t that he and Danny were falling out but that they had ever fallen in. “Danny isn’t so easy to access,” said Persi Diaconis. “Amos was all out there. The chemistry was so deep, I don’t know if it’s describable, in a mechanistic way. Each of them was brilliant. And that they did interact, and that they could interact, was a miracle.” The miracle did not look as if it was going to survive its removal from the Holy Land.



* * *





In 1986 Danny moved with Anne to the University of California at Berkeley—the same university that had told Danny eight years earlier that he was too old for a job. “I really hope the move to Berkeley will open a new era with Danny, with more everyday interaction and less tension,” Amos wrote in a letter to a friend. “I am optimistic.” When Danny had put himself back on the job market, the year before, he’d discovered that his stock had risen dramatically. He received nineteen offers, including an overture from Harvard. Anyone who wanted to believe that what ailed Danny was simply an absence of status outside of Israel would have some difficulty explaining what happened next: He went into a depression. “He said he wasn’t going to work again,” recalled Maya Bar-Hillel, who bumped into Danny soon after he’d moved to Berkeley. “He had no more ideas, everything was getting worse.”

Danny’s premonition of the ending of a relationship that he had once been unable to imagine ending had a lot to do with the state of his mind. “This is a marriage, a big thing,” Danny had said to Miles Shore in the summer of 1983. “We have been working for fifteen years. It would be a disaster to stop. It’s like asking people why do they stay married. We would need a strong reason not to stay married.” But in three short years he’d gone from trying to stay in the marriage to trying to get out. His move to Berkeley had the opposite of the intended effect: Seeing Amos more often only caused him more pain. “We have got to the point that the very thought of telling you of ANY idea that I like (mine or someone else’s) makes me anxious,” Danny wrote to Amos in March 1987, after one meeting. “An episode such as the one we had yesterday wrecks my life for several days (including anticipation as well as recovery) and I just don’t want those anymore. I am not suggesting we stop talking, merely that we show some good sense in adapting to the changes in our relationship.”

Amos replied to that letter from Danny with a long letter of his own. “I realize my response style leaves a lot to be desired but you have also become much less interested in objections or criticism, mine or others’,” he wrote. “You have become very protective of some ideas and develop an attitude of ‘love them or leave them’ rather than trying to ‘get it right.’ One of the things I admired you for most in our joint work was your relentlessness as a critic. You discarded a very attractive treatment of regret (developed mostly by you) because of a single counter-example that hardly anyone (except me) could really appreciate the force of. You prevented us from writing up our work on anchoring because it lacks something etc. I do not see any of this in your attitude to many of your ideas recently.” When he’d finished that letter Amos wrote another, to the mathematician Varda Liberman, his friend in Israel. “There is no overlap between the way I see my relationship with Danny and the way he perceives me,” he wrote. “What seems to me openness between friends he takes as an insult, and what seems like correct behavior to him is to me unfriendly. It is difficult for him to accept we are different in the eyes of other people.”

Danny needed something from Amos. He needed him to correct the perception that they were not equal partners. And he needed it because he suspected Amos shared that perception. “He was too willing to accept a situation that put me in his shadow,” said Danny. Amos may have been privately furious that the MacArthur Foundation recognized him and not Danny, but when Danny had called to congratulate him, he had only said offhandedly, “If I hadn’t gotten it for this I’d have gotten it for something else.” Amos might have written endless recommendations for Danny, and told people privately that he was the greatest living psychologist in the world, but after Danny told Amos that Harvard had asked him to join its faculty, Amos said, “It’s me they want.” He’d just blurted that out, and then probably regretted saying it—even if he wasn’t wrong to think it. Amos couldn’t help himself from wounding Danny, and Danny couldn’t help himself from feeling wounded. Barbara Tversky occupied the office beside Amos at Stanford. “I would hear their phone calls,” she said. “It was worse than a divorce.”

The wonder was that Danny didn’t simply break off the relationship. By the late 1980s he was behaving like a man caught in some mysterious, invisible trap. Once you had shared a mind with Amos Tversky it was hard to get Amos Tversky out of your mind.

What he did, instead, was get Amos out of his sight, by leaving Berkeley for Princeton, in 1992. “Amos cast a shadow on my life,” he said. “I needed to get away. He possessed my mind.” Amos couldn’t understand this need of Danny’s to put three thousand miles between them. He found Danny’s behavior mystifying. “Just to give you a small example,” Amos wrote to Varda Liberman in early 1994, “there’s a book on judgment that came out, and in the introduction there’s a passage that says Danny and I are ‘inseparable.’ This is, of course, an exaggeration. But Danny wrote to the author to tell him that it’s an exaggeration and added that ‘we haven’t had anything to do with each other for a decade.’ In the last ten years we published five papers together, and worked on several other projects we never finished (mainly because of me). It’s a trivial example but gives you an idea of his state of mind.”

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